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World War 1.5 by RvBOMally World War 1.5 by RvBOMally
On June 28th, 2014, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev is assassinated by Ukranian nationalists during his visit to Donetsk. The Russian government immediately blamed Ukraine's government for conspiring with the nationalists to conduct the assassination, an allegation that would later turn out to be true, but used the assassination as an excuse to demand that Ukraine all but surrender its sovereignty to Russia. This led to a month of diplomatic crises, as alliances coalesced over fears of a third world war. The Chinese were concerned about Japan's remilitarization, while the Japanese were concerned about China's bold attempts to seize disputed ocean territory. The Russians and the Chinese moved closer together, fearing encirclement by the Western powers. 

On July 28th, the Russians declared war on Ukraine. In response, the European Union's member states declared war on Russia, but the United States remained neutral; it was the NATO member states that declared war on Russia, not the other way around. As a sign of solidarity with the Russians, the Chinese declared war on the European Union, and demanded that Japan stay neutral. The Japanese, knowing that the Chinese were more concerned about them than the European Union, began to mobilize. Chinese strategic planners knew that the Japanese could not be allowed to mobilize, as that would make their home islands nearly unassailable, and executed the "Xi-Liu-Fen" Plan: a military strike against South Korea with the aid of North Korea, thus providing a beachhead through which China could invade Japan. The invasion of South Korea prompted the United States to declare war on China, thus plunging most of the world into war. 

Fears of mutually assured destruction, the widespread presence of ABM systems and the belief that the war would be over soon kept the war conventional. Unfortunately, the war was not short. As the months dragged on, more and more countries joined the fray. Iran joined the so-called Eastern Powers in October of 2014, and India joined on the side of the Allies in 2015. Fighting spread all over the world: South Africa attacked pro-Chinese Zimbabwe on behalf of the Allies, Israel waged war against Egypt. The civil wars in Nigeria and Syria continued. The biggest front, by far, was the Asian Front. The Allies conducted several landings across the Chinese coast and Korea, but with the destruction of the most advanced weapons systems early in the war, fighting became dominated by ground forces. Neither the Allies nor the Chinese could muster the forces necessary to break through one anothers’ lines, so fighting became largely static. In Europe, the European Union was left to fend mostly for itself, and while the Russian Army was ill-equipped to fight the war, the EU was likewise. Both sides made few gains against one another. 

The tone of the war changed in 2017. European governments were overthrown by far-right nationalists that wanted peace with the Russians and the creation of a stronger, nationalist Europe. The European governments surrendered to the Eastern Powers, but this did not stop Europe from plunging into civil war between the loyalists and the so-called “White Army.” But what seemed like a final victory was snatched away from the Eastern Powers. Brazil joined the Allies after a Brazilian ship, the Portuguesa, was sunk by a Chinese submarine. Fearing Brazilian manpower, the Chinese attempted a bold offensive against the Allies, which failed. Brazilian forces started landing in China, pushing the Chinese back. Then, the population of the Eastern Powers revolted against the wartime governments. In Russia, the desperate government launched what remained of it aging nuclear arsenal at the United States. They succeeded in hitting a few military installations and Allied troop concentrations in China, but in return the Americans destroyed much of Russia’s military. The Russian state collapsed. This was slowly followed by the collapse of China. Tired of war, China’s people revolted against the military government, and soon a democratic government was put in place and negotiated a ceasefire with the Allies. On November 11, 2018, WWIII ended. 

It is now the year 2037. The world has just suffered from another great financial collapse, one that has led to suffering worldwide and the rise of radical politics. The United States remains the premier power in the world, leader of the Global Alliance (its replacement for NATO) and the other Allied powers. The Americans, along with the Japanese, maintain the order established at the end of WWIII. This is a difficult task, as the UN mandates remain undeveloped and violent, and new challengers to the current world order arise. South Africa has been taken over by its hypernationalist military, and is waging a war of expansion against Central Africa, despite the condemnation it has received from the UN. India, displeased with its share of the spoils after WWIII, has elected an ultranationalist government that seeks to recreate the Indian empires of old, at the expense of its neighbors. The totalitarian European Front remains an international pariah, its white supremacist and reactionary Christian ideology inspiring other far-right groups around the world to fight against the current order. And last, but certainly not least, the rise of the Dragon Party in China could easily lead to another world war. Led by a former Chinese colonel who was inspired by the teachings of Falun Gong, the Dragon Party believes that the Han Chinese are the destined masters of the world. Already, the Chinese are conducting mass persecutions of Muslims and Tibetans within their country, and there are clear signs that the Chinese are rebuilding their military in violation of post-WWIII treaties. They called World War III the war to end all wars, but now it seems that a fourth world war is brewing.
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:iconkubocaskett:
KuboCaskett Featured By Owner May 16, 2015  New member Hobbyist
I find the idea of Germany falling into far-rightism again unbelievable since the people are too enlightened to return to it, unless they like suffered a nuclear war or something. Also, I wonder what drove South Africa into "hypernationalism"? Aren't whites like the minority there or something?
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 16, 2015
None of this should be believable. :p

Who says the whites are in charge? Hypernationalism knows no color. 
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:iconkubocaskett:
KuboCaskett Featured By Owner May 16, 2015  New member Hobbyist
True, there was Imperial Japan which has a huge case of Hypernationalism (as well as some form of fascism). As for Germany, I wonder what brought them back into a far-right regime? I can't image the German people will be happy with the European Front.
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 17, 2015
Most Germans have been cowed to submission by the rather brutal leadership of the EF. 
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:iconkubocaskett:
KuboCaskett Featured By Owner May 17, 2015  New member Hobbyist
I hate to see what life is like in Eurofront ruled Germany, as well as what happened to the death camps in there and around Europe as well (especially Auschwitz, which is in Poland, which is under the EF). I would imagine some sort of underground resistance against the EF in Germany, like there was in the days of the Third Reich.
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 17, 2015
I imagine there's a resistance in most of the EF member states, but the EF's government have become experts in terror. 
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:iconbeastboss:
Beastboss Featured By Owner Mar 28, 2015  Hobbyist Photographer
If WWIV has China(Germany) and India(Italy) as allies then oh boy will this be scary world to live in
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:iconhowaboutthathumanity:
What would the flag to the European Front look like?
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner Feb 23, 2015
Probably a European Union flag. With a cross on it. 
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:iconjeckl:
Jeckl Featured By Owner Feb 4, 2015
So are you going to do a sequel?


Or do we have to wait till 2039/45? :p
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner Feb 4, 2015
You're gonna have to wait. ;)
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:icontodyo1798:
Todyo1798 Featured By Owner Oct 17, 2014  Hobbyist General Artist
Hold on so, if the Europeans are meant to be analogous to the Soviets does that mean that once the Chinese take East Turkestan (and presumably Siberia, Mongolia etc) they're going to split the New Intermarum with the EF?  And that'll be the Poland strike that brings America and Japan back into the war, so then once the Japanese have been taken out and the Americans are wondering what to do next the Europeans will storm in, and by the end of the war have basically all of mainland Eurasia?
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner Oct 17, 2014
Yes.
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:icontodyo1798:
Todyo1798 Featured By Owner Oct 17, 2014  Hobbyist General Artist
In that case do ye recall what Tibet was analogous too?  I'm thinking Albania.
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner Oct 17, 2014
I can't remember. 
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:iconvoid-wolf:
Void-Wolf Featured By Owner Sep 8, 2014  Student General Artist
Well, the US stands strogn and glad to see South American and Central America get some respect, but good gravy, India went bonkers and even most of Europe. I kinda do agree that it should be England and not Finland (though Scandanavia could have kept to themselves also).

You'd think most of these whackos would know better by now...

World War IV seems inevitable and by this point, I think the US needs to have a whole fusion bomb at the works.
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner Sep 9, 2014
Considering this was a reenactment of WWI, and nobody noticed, they don't know better. 
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:iconvoid-wolf:
Void-Wolf Featured By Owner Sep 10, 2014  Student General Artist
You think we might see a sequel to this?
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:iconbruiser128:
bruiser128 Featured By Owner Aug 23, 2014  Student Traditional Artist
Good thing this didn't happen, but the threat of ACTUAL war is their.
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner Aug 25, 2014
The entire Ukraine crisis has been a string of "this will start WWIII for sure" moments. 
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:iconbruiser128:
bruiser128 Featured By Owner Aug 25, 2014  Student Traditional Artist
Well from what I can tell Putin WANTS the west to
send soldiers into Ukraine for some reason.
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:iconcuteponykittyeatcake:
oh nonononono. This isn't fair, its not really happening. remove this pic from DA
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:icontlhikan:
TLhikan Featured By Owner Jun 17, 2014
So, what superweapon does Brazil drop on South Africa to end WWIV? 
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner Jun 17, 2014
Orbital bombardment. 
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:iconjeckl:
Jeckl Featured By Owner Jul 17, 2014
Wouldn't Orbital Bombardment be more like bombers then nukes? Since people know about it now, where as nukes where pretty theoretical before the interwar years 
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner Jul 18, 2014
People were writing about nuclear weapons before they were actually used.
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:iconfrazamm:
frazamm Featured By Owner Jun 6, 2014
Interesting scenario. How do you propose the war lasting so long? The time it takes to produce weapons nowadays ... I just want to hear your thoughts.

I do realise things might change and production improve if on a war footing, but the complexity of tanks, aircraft and ships these days is unlikely to allow for rapid construction so the war is likely to be fought by the poor bloody infantry. Also considering the fact that most rare metals used in weapons come from China, so that is likely to hurt the Europeans a lot, I would expect, for them to be able to last four years.

Recent long wars have been asymmetric. I think conventional wars between powers would short and sharp, or a succession of these.
What do you think?
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner Jun 6, 2014
Well, that's precisely why the war takes so long. The high-tech stuff is used up quickly in attempts to win the war quickly, and it becomes a war of attrition between infantry. Of course, the real reason it would take this long is so that it matches WWI. ;)

As for what I think actual conventional war between world powers would be like, a few battles and border skirmishes, and then both sides decide to get a ceasefire and status quo ante bellum. The threat of nuclear war is still great enough that neither side wants to push the other into being desperate enough to use them. 
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:iconfrazamm:
frazamm Featured By Owner Jul 8, 2014
That's what I thought. I had been thinking that it has been a long time since a conventional war between well-matched opponents ended in victory for one side. Even the war in Iraq and Afghanistan has led to a long insurgency without any resolution. Only recent war I can think of that ended conclusively has been the Tamil War in Sri Lanka. Proxy wars have always taken a life of their own.
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:icontwisterace:
TwisterAce Featured By Owner May 26, 2014
Pretty scary and plausible scenario, considering what's going on in the world right now.
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 26, 2014
Plausible in many respects, I think, but certainly not in all. I should make a map of what I think the future would be like. 
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:iconbeastboss:
Beastboss Featured By Owner May 31, 2014  Hobbyist Photographer
Do it please :)
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:iconfreivolk:
freivolk Featured By Owner May 24, 2014
Wouldn´t Britain work better as a Finnland-equivalent.
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 24, 2014
Huh, yes. Yes it would.
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:iconroyalpsycho:
RoyalPsycho Featured By Owner May 24, 2014
So the EF in place of communism has established pan-national fascism as it's big "spread to the rest of the world" ideology as opposed to the more race based Nazi-esque fascism in China?

Also Portuguesa? Hah!

If we're going with parallels here then I guess the EF is going to advance through West Asia, establishing a Warsaw Pact in that Russian state, Turkestan and parts of the Middle East and divide China up between a Euro-fascist east and a capitalist west.
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 24, 2014
Yes, the EF is the USSR analogue. And that parallel end result you described is accurate, except that it would be divided between Euronat West China and democratic East China. 
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:iconroyalpsycho:
RoyalPsycho Featured By Owner May 24, 2014
Did I really mix that up? Anyway yes that is what I mean't.
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 24, 2014
I nearly got it mixed up when I was writing the correction. 
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:icontlhikan:
TLhikan Featured By Owner May 23, 2014
I think I get all the parallels, although I'm not sure what Australia's role is. 

Is there a Spain analog that's about to have a civil war?
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 23, 2014
Australia is Australia, and Indonesia is Spain (their civil war is over, though). 
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:icontlhikan:
TLhikan Featured By Owner May 23, 2014
Ah, I didn't pay enough attention to the note for Indonesia, got it. 
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:iconcyberphoenix001:
CyberPhoenix001 Featured By Owner May 23, 2014  Hobbyist Digital Artist
What's that saying about those who can't remember the past being doomed to repeat it? :)
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 23, 2014
Exactly. :)
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:iconsteampoweredwolf:
SteamPoweredWolf Featured By Owner May 23, 2014
Those who do not remember the past may be doomed to repeat it, but those who do remember are doomed to watch everyone else repeat it! ;-)
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:iconmeloa789:
meloa789 Featured By Owner May 23, 2014
You know what? There is a strong possibility that this may happen in real life.

Are you a sincere fortune teller in disguise?Ninja 
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 23, 2014
That's why I wanted this posted before June 28th. :p
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:iconsecretagent632:
SecretAgent632 Featured By Owner May 22, 2014  Hobbyist Artist
I am thinking Americans would find it literally impossible to legally obtain replacement parts for their computers, i-phones, etc? Not that it matters as I can assume that all social media (including DeviantART) would be blocked nationwide?
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 22, 2014
The Chinese and American economies aren't as intertwined ITTL, and many American businesses either moved back home during the war (patriotism) or moved production to other parts of the world.

As for social media, it was censored during the war, but censorship ended afterwards.
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:iconsecretagent632:
SecretAgent632 Featured By Owner May 22, 2014  Hobbyist Artist
I am assuming law enforcement essentially had a nationwide search and seizure warrant? I take it conservative Americans had to get used to Obama beyond 2016?
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:iconrvbomally:
RvBOMally Featured By Owner May 22, 2014
Yes, there were worries about Chinese spies. The election was postponed until the end of the war, but this had broad bipartisan support because there was a strong rally 'round the flag effect going on at the time. 
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